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Calculating project profitability
: 5 methods,
a tool

Net present value, internal rate of return, payback period, ROI, and TAAR: Evaluate your investment using the methods that CFOs use.

5
methods
NPV
gold standard
0 €
Free of charge
computer
Dynamic investment analysis
Net present value method

Calculates the present value of all future cash flows minus the initial investment.

WACC or minimum return (typically 6-12% in Germany, Austria, and Switzerland)
Annual net cash flows (€)
Year 1
Year 2
Year 3
Year 4
Year 5
Result: Net present value method
Net present value (NPV)
Total cash flows
profitability index
return calculation
Internal rate of return

The IRR is the interest rate at which the net present value of an investment is exactly zero.

WACC or minimum return
Annual net cash flows (€)
Year 1
Year 2
Year 3
Year 4
Year 5
Result: Internal rate of return
Internal rate of return (IRR)
NPV at comparative interest rate
Spread (IRR – WACC)
risk assessment
Payback period

Calculates after how many years the cumulative returns exceed the initial investment.

Company policy / Target
Annual net cash flows (€)
Year 1
Year 2
Year 3
Year 4
Year 5
Result: Payback period
payback period
total return
surplus
profitability
Return on investment (ROI)

ROI measures the ratio of net profit to total investment as a percentage.

Total returns over the project period
Result: Return on investment
ROI (total)
ROI (annual)
net profit
year-on-year comparison
TAAR (Total Annual Average Return)

The average annual return: average annual yield relative to the initial investment.

Annual net cash flows (€)
Year 1
Year 2
Year 3
Year 4
Year 5
Result: TAAR
TAAR (annual)
Total ROI
Average cash flow per year
net profit
investment calculation

The right basis for decision-making:
Five methods compared

Before a company invests in a new project, it needs a sound economic analysis. Each method answers a different question:

methodquestionCurrent value?Ideal for
NPVDoes the project create absolute added value?YesProject comparisons, long-term investments
IRRWhat is the project return on investment?YesReturn vs. cost of capital
paybackWhen will the money be returned?NoQuick risk assessment
return on investmentWhat is the percentage return on invested capital?Nomanagement communication
TAARWhat is the average annual return?NoComparison of the duration of various projects
methodology

How the calculation methods work

1. Net present value method (NPV)

The net present value method is the standard procedure for dynamic investment appraisal. All future cash flows are discounted to the present date using the discount rate.

NPV = -I₀ + CF₁/(1+r)¹ + CF₂/(1+r)² + … + CFₙ/(1+r)ⁿ

Decision rule: NPV > 0 means that the project creates value. If there are several alternatives, choose the project with the highest positive net present value.

2. Internal rate of return (IRR)

The IRR is the interest rate at which the net present value is exactly zero. It is calculated iteratively using the Newton method.

0 = -I₀ + CF₁/(1+IRR)¹ + CF₂/(1+IRR)² + … + CFₙ/(1+IRR)ⁿ

Decision rule: IRR > WACC = investment advantageous. The spread shows the excess return.

3. Payback period

Determine how many years it will take for the cumulative returns to reach the initial investment. The shorter the period, the lower the risk.

Amortization = Year in which: Sum(CF₁ + … + CFₙ) ≥ I₀

Limitation: Does not take into account the time value of money and ignores cash flows after the payback period.

4. Return on investment (ROI)

Compares net profit to capital employed.

ROI = (total return – total investment) / total investment × 100%

5. TAAR (Total Annual Average Return)

Calculates the average annual return. Enables comparison of projects with different durations.

TAAR = ((sum of all CFs – investment) / investment) / years × 100%

Advantage: Easy year-on-year comparison. Disadvantage: Does not take into account fair value or cash flow fluctuations.

Frequently asked questions

FAQ: What companies want to know

Which method should I use for my project?
For a complete evaluation, it is advisable to combine several methods. The net present value (NPV) is best suited for absolute value comparison. The IRR compares the return with your capital costs. The payback period provides a quick risk assessment. The ROI offers a simple basis for communication with management. The TAAR enables the comparison of projects with different durations.
What is a typical discount rate?
The discount rate should correspond to your company's weighted average cost of capital (WACC). For medium-sized companies in the DACH region, this is typically between 6% and 12%. For high-risk projects, a risk premium of 2-5 percentage points may be appropriate.
How can I realistically estimate future cash flows?
Use three scenarios: optimistic, realistic, and pessimistic. Base your estimates on historical data from comparable projects, market analyses, and expert surveys. A structured tool such as Smartsheet helps you systematically track actual values against planned values.
Why do NPV and ROI sometimes differ?
NPV and ROI consider different aspects: ROI shows the total return, but does not take into account when the returns are generated. €50,000 in year 1 is worth more than €50,000 in year 5. NPV discounts each cash flow individually and therefore provides a more realistic picture.
What does a negative net present value mean?
A negative net present value means that the investment is not economically viable under the given assumptions. Check whether the assumptions are realistic, whether strategic advantages compensate for the financial disadvantage, or whether an alternative approach would yield better results.
How can Smartsheet help with investment calculations?
Smartsheet is ideal for ongoing monitoring of project investments: track actual vs. planned cash flows in real time, receive automatic notifications in the event of budget deviations, and access dashboards for management with current ROI and amortization figures. Lighthouse Consultings implements customized solutions for project controlling.
What is the difference between TAAR and IRR?
TAAR is a simplified key figure that does not take time value into account. IRR, on the other hand, determines the actual interest rate, taking into account the timing of cash flows. For quick orientation: TAAR. For precise investment decisions: IRR.
Nico Roepnack

Nico Roepnack

Founder, Lighthouse Consultings. 20+ years of operations in the manufacturing industry. Smartsheet ENGAGE 2025 speaker, Forbes Business Council, DHBW lecturer on digital transformation.

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Sources: Brealey/Myers/Allen: Principles of Corporate Finance · APICS/ASCM Body of Knowledge · LHC practical experience (15+ implementations)
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